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A Mean Field Games Perspective on Evolutionary Clustering

Basti, Alessio, Camilli, Fabio, Festa, Adriano

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose a control-theoretic framework for evolutionary clustering based on Mean Field Games (MFG). Moving beyond static or heuristic approaches, we formulate the problem as a population dynamics game governed by a coupled Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman and Fokker-Planck system. Driven by a variational cost functional rather than predefined statistical shapes, this continuous-time formulation provides a flexible basis for non-parametric cluster evolution. To validate the framework, we analyze the setting of time-dependent Gaussian mixtures, showing that the MFG dynamics recover the trajectories of the classical Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm while ensuring mass conservation. Furthermore, we introduce time-averaged log-likelihood functionals to regularize temporal fluctuations. Numerical experiments illustrate the stability of our approach and suggest a path toward more general non-parametric clustering applications where traditional EM methods may face limitations.


Elements of Conformal Prediction for Statisticians

Sesia, Matteo, Favaro, Stefano

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Predictive inference is a fundamental task in statistics, traditionally addressed using parametric assumptions about the data distribution and detailed analyses of how models learn from data. In recent years, conformal prediction has emerged as a rapidly growing alternative framework that is particularly well suited to modern applications involving high-dimensional data and complex machine learning models. Its appeal stems from being both distribution-free -- relying mainly on symmetry assumptions such as exchangeability -- and model-agnostic, treating the learning algorithm as a black box. Even under such limited assumptions, conformal prediction provides exact finite-sample guarantees, though these are typically of a marginal nature that requires careful interpretation. This paper explains the core ideas of conformal prediction and reviews selected methods. Rather than offering an exhaustive survey, it aims to provide a clear conceptual entry point and a pedagogical overview of the field.


Kriging via variably scaled kernels

Audone, Gianluca, Marchetti, Francesco, Perracchione, Emma, Rossini, Milvia

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Classical Gaussian processes and Kriging models are commonly based on stationary kernels, whereby correlations between observations depend exclusively on the relative distance between scattered data. While this assumption ensures analytical tractability, it limits the ability of Gaussian processes to represent heterogeneous correlation structures. In this work, we investigate variably scaled kernels as an effective tool for constructing non-stationary Gaussian processes by explicitly modifying the correlation structure of the data. Through a scaling function, variably scaled kernels alter the correlations between data and enable the modeling of targets exhibiting abrupt changes or discontinuities. We analyse the resulting predictive uncertainty via the variably scaled kernel power function and clarify the relationship between variably scaled kernels-based constructions and classical non-stationary kernels. Numerical experiments demonstrate that variably scaled kernels-based Gaussian processes yield improved reconstruction accuracy and provide uncertainty estimates that reflect the underlying structure of the data


Restoring surgeons' sense of touch with robotic fingertips

Robohub

Modern surgery has gone from long incisions to tiny cuts guided by robots and AI. In the process, however, surgeons have lost something vital: the chance to feel inside the body directly. Without palpation, it becomes harder to detect tissue abnormalities during an operation. A group of surgeons and engineers across Europe is now trying to bring back this vital aspect of surgery. Working within an EU-funded research collaboration called PALPABLE, they are developing a soft robotic "fingertip" that can sense how firm or soft tissue is during minimally invasive and robotic surgery.


Phase-Type Variational Autoencoders for Heavy-Tailed Data

Ziani, Abdelhakim, Horváth, András, Ballarini, Paolo

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Heavy-tailed distributions are ubiquitous in real-world data, where rare but extreme events dominate risk and variability. However, standard Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) employ simple decoder distributions (e.g., Gaussian) that fail to capture heavy-tailed behavior, while existing heavy-tail-aware extensions remain restricted to predefined parametric families whose tail behavior is fixed a priori. We propose the Phase-Type Variational Autoencoder (PH-VAE), whose decoder distribution is a latent-conditioned Phase-Type (PH) distribution defined as the absorption time of a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC). This formulation composes multiple exponential time scales, yielding a flexible and analytically tractable decoder that adapts its tail behavior directly from the observed data. Experiments on synthetic and real-world benchmarks demonstrate that PH-VAE accurately recovers diverse heavy-tailed distributions, significantly outperforming Gaussian, Student-t, and extreme-value-based VAE decoders in modeling tail behavior and extreme quantiles. In multivariate settings, PH-VAE captures realistic cross-dimensional tail dependence through its shared latent representation. To our knowledge, this is the first work to integrate Phase-Type distributions into deep generative modeling, bridging applied probability and representation learning.


iPhone users are amazed to discover a secret design element hidden in the clock app

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Bed-bound Lindsey Vonn reveals pain is'hard to manage' as she speaks out for the first time after FIFTH surgery on her broken leg'Fergie might end up having to tell her story to the police': 'Toxic' Sarah Ferguson is'broke and in a bad way' after Andrew's arrest...and looking to UAE for cash because'everyone is out to get her' The tide of sleaze rolling over Beatrice, Eugenie and Fergie is going to capsize them all. Moment Kate and William revealed their'true feelings' towards Andrew and Fergie: Princess'ignoring' Sarah and Prince'secretly scolding' his uncle... how Duchess of Kent's funeral said it all Kurt Cobain's uncle insists Nirvana legend was murdered and calls on cops to investigate clues that haunt him Kristi Noem's secret escape plan to ditch DHS revealed amid ICE raid fallout and'culture of fear' rumors Winter Olympics chiefs reach verdict on Jutta Leerdam's '$1m underwear-flashing gesture' after Jake Paul's fiancée faced covert marketing claims Country singer Conner Smith's charges DROPPED after he hit and killed a woman, 77, with his truck I ditched weight-loss shots for the new Wegovy pill and am astonished by the difference. The pounds are falling off, I have no side effects and it's cheaper The subtle early warning sign that revealed Eric Dane's illness - as Grey's Anatomy star dies of motor neurone disease Johnny Depp let Eric Dane live'rent-free in one of his LA homes' as he tried to ease Grey's Anatomy star's financial worries in the months before his death from ALS aged 53 Uproar as NYC's'communist' mayor announces crippling tax for ALL homeowners after promising to only go after billionaires Wall Street panics as America's growth stalls while everyday prices refuse to fall I stumbled across my wife's Pornhub search history and it's broken me. She told me it's'just a fantasy lots of women have' but now I fear I'll never be enough Non-binary activist wins compensation after taking year-and-a-half off work with stress because hair salon's online booking form only offered male or female cuts Courtney Love caught on camera fleeing shocking car collision... days after bombshell Kurt Cobain'homicide investigation' Trump-bashing Winter Olympics star Hunter Hess whines about'hardest weeks of his life' after being called a'real loser' by the president In a viral post on X, user @ShishirShelke1 shared their strange discovery about the clock app icon. Normally, the icon on the home screen shows the second hand smoothly gliding around the clock face.


Gen Z are scared of DRIVING: Car phobias are leaving youngsters terrified of basic tasks including parallel parking, hill starts, and merging onto a motorway, study finds

Daily Mail - Science & tech

Eric Dane dead at 53: Grey's Anatomy star dies after courageous battle with ALS... less than a year after announcing diagnosis RICHARD KAY: Andrew's fall may now be complete. The question is... Will he bring down the House of Windsor with him? Alysa Liu finally ends America's 24-year wait for a Winter Olympics figure skating gold medal as she wins nerve-shredding final The tide of sleaze rolling over Beatrice, Eugenie and Fergie is going to capsize them all. My stalker said he'd rape and dismember me. Then he turned his depraved sights on my seven-year-old daughter, says EVA LARUE.



Separating Oblivious and Adaptive Models of Variable Selection

Chen, Ziyun, Li, Jerry, Tian, Kevin, Zhu, Yusong

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Sparse recovery is among the most well-studied problems in learning theory and high-dimensional statistics. In this work, we investigate the statistical and computational landscapes of sparse recovery with $\ell_\infty$ error guarantees. This variant of the problem is motivated by \emph{variable selection} tasks, where the goal is to estimate the support of a $k$-sparse signal in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Our main contribution is a provable separation between the \emph{oblivious} (``for each'') and \emph{adaptive} (``for all'') models of $\ell_\infty$ sparse recovery. We show that under an oblivious model, the optimal $\ell_\infty$ error is attainable in near-linear time with $\approx k\log d$ samples, whereas in an adaptive model, $\gtrsim k^2$ samples are necessary for any algorithm to achieve this bound. This establishes a surprising contrast with the standard $\ell_2$ setting, where $\approx k \log d$ samples suffice even for adaptive sparse recovery. We conclude with a preliminary examination of a \emph{partially-adaptive} model, where we show nontrivial variable selection guarantees are possible with $\approx k\log d$ measurements.